Wednesday, November 13, 2024

What is the preferred amount for Swing Trade and allow room for learning from mistakes?

 


 
In my opinion, a good enough amount of startup capital is good for learning
how to trade along the way, allow one to make some mistakes and learn from it.

Too small an account is easily wipe out in one or two trades and may not give a 
trader the sufficient amount of time to learn from trials and errors to discover 
own trading behavior and habits.
 
If you just started to trade and started to make some profits as a Novice,
you are being lucky in the bull market phase.
 
A trader will be challenged during the bear market phase and if you can still
can stay profitable and calm. Different market condition requires different trading 
strategy has to change to tailor to the market condition.
 
Learning how to add more lots along an uptrending stage 2, will definitely allow
you to reap most profits for a stock, crypto & etc.
 
e.g. of below trade taken in the past.
 
 
 

 

 
 
 


 
 
 
 
 

Wednesday, October 30, 2024

My Trading Journal for life!

 My Trading Journal used to be real-time tracking of profits and Loss using Excel RTD function in 2010.

After Yahoo Finance stopped providing real-time stock data, I had to manually
update the stock price inorder to know if the stock is currently making money
or losing.

After some thought, decided to do manually input for buy, sell and cutloss level.
Redo the formulae to reflect the changes to the clearing fees, GST over the years. 

Revised Journal has been using for more than a decade to keep track of trade
performance without fail.

Below is an sample entries on how I would keep track of each transaction over
the time.


(click image to enlarge)

A good trading journal allows you to review why you done right or wrong on certain
trades.
Rewind back to the point in time on chart, plot the "buy" and "Sell" order on the past
historical chart, allow me to review past good trades or bad trades taken and what need
to be done for future trades.





Friday, October 18, 2024

How I prepare to take a trade a Stock each time?

 

Chart taken from: 10.10.24 - sold iFast at top channel.   (to enlarge chart picture, click on it)

Above is an actual small trade setup for IFAST Stock to perform Risks to Rewards analysis before
 I press the button to
buy or sell.

1) Enter the following information into the Profit & Loss Calculator

a) No. of shares ; taken from the Position Sizer
b) Buy Price ; Entry Price
c) Cut Price ; Stop Price (below recent support level)
d) Target Price: (Near term resistance level)


2) Once this is done, you will know the following


A) Risk to Reward Ratio ; whether a trade should be taken or walked away
B) Break Even Level ; when the trade will become profitable.
C) Potential Profit & Loss Amount


With a customized risk calculator that I have programmed many years back, assisted me to determine 
if the risk is worth to take or just let it go instead.


What make a good trader is nothing more than the tools he uses to trade the market. With simple
tool like this calculator, once can easily walk away from lousy deal, instead look for another stock
that presents better returns although there is no guarantee to win in trading. But we close the gap
up to make a good trade.

As you can see in this calculator, I have the cutloss level just beside the target level (near term resistance)
where I make this the 1st priority in any trading. Always determine where will be the cutloss, so that
you can easily obtain the risk and reward ratio at the end of the calculator. With this estimation of
the risk that you have to take in order to receive the rewards, you can easily make a quick decision whether to 
take the trade or just leave it along.


Many times, when we found a stock that is trading with excessive volume and has been trading higher for past
 few days, we may have the urge to jump into the stock without analyzing chart on the possibly near
term resistance
or support. With this risk calculator, you can easily enter the buy price (support level) and
sell price (near term resistance level) and cutloss (below recent support level). Once you have all these data key in,
you can check the risk to reward ratio if it is still a good trade.

Never rush to buy a stock that has been in the top volume for days. Nothing is free as this could
be a trap setup by the professionals to trick the herd to go long so that the professionals can
transfer their holdings
to the weaker buyers. Once the transferring is done, the stock will
continue to move higher for the next few days but without volume to support this upmove,
so the stock start to tumble down like a stack of cards.

Dont be greedy, just be patience in trading. Always buy at channel base where the stock is quiet and unnoticed
by majority where there is sign of accummulation from the professionals. Such indicators in my system to
determine this strength is as follow:


Test Base - professionals are probing the base, if the next bar shows successful test, the price will go higher

Reduced Selling Pressure - after a big sell off, market starts to cool off slowly and move sideway, reduced
elling pressure is witnessed as any selling has been absorbed by the professionals so that they can stage an
upmove in the near future when the catalyst for a bullrun is present.

No Supply - selling has reduced significant and if there is no selling, stock will move sideway or uptrend.

Markup - price is marked up to trick shortists to cover their shorts, usually a "V" up move.
Demand coming in - professionals are coming in to buy  up with average to high transaction volume.
Bottom reversal - price reversal from bottom, forcing shortists to worry and cover shorts
Climatic action - heavy transaction volume at the lowest low but close higher near the day high, the professionals
are finding worth in the stock and decide to absorb all selling and push price higher instead.

Happy Profitable Trading!